NI
Nextracker Inc. (NXT)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong beat-and-raise quarter: revenue $0.905B vs $0.840B consensus* and adjusted EPS $1.19 vs $1.01 consensus*; management raised FY26 revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges; GAAP EPS range narrowed with a slightly higher low end .
- Margins remained robust (GAAP gross margin 32.4%), though tariffs were a ~300 bps headwind vs Q1; management flagged back-half mix/tariff pressure with H2 weighted to Q4 .
- Backlog surpassed $5B with record eBOS, foundations, TrueCapture, and Europe bookings; cash ended at $845M with no debt and new $1B unsecured revolver (investment-grade terms)—ample capacity to fund platform expansion (eBOS, advanced module frames, robotics/AI) .
- Key stock reaction catalysts: broad-based demand strength and platform expansion (eBOS, frames, JV in MENA), raised FY26 outlook, and commentary on tariff headwinds/project cadence (Q4 > Q3) .
Note: Consensus figures marked with * are from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based growth with record bookings across eBOS, foundations, TrueCapture and Europe; backlog >$5B; CEO: “Bookings…remain healthy, leading to a record backlog of greater than $5 billion” .
- Platform expansion gaining traction: launched NX PowerMerge eBOS trunk connector (record eBOS bookings), acquired Origami Solar (advanced module frames) and signed a multi‑GW, multi‑year frame supply agreement (> $75M deal value noted on the call) .
- Balance sheet and liquidity strength: $845M cash, no debt, new $1B revolver; CFO: “total liquidity of nearly $1.8 billion…investment‑grade terms” .
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What Went Wrong
- Tariffs tightened margins: ~300 bps headwind in Q2 (up ~200 bps vs Q1), with management expecting modest margin pressure in H2 given Section 232 and higher international mix .
- GAAP gross margin eased YoY (35.4% → 32.4%) and QoQ (32.6% → 32.4%); adjusted EBITDA margin also declined YoY (27.2% → 24.7%) as mix/tariffs offset scale benefits .
- Guidance quality mixed on GAAP metrics: FY26 GAAP EPS and GAAP net income ranges narrowed with lower top ends even as revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges were raised .
Financial Results
Q2 FY26 estimate comparison (SPGI consensus):
- Revenue: $0.905B actual vs $0.840B consensus* (beat) .
- Adjusted Diluted EPS: $1.19 actual vs $1.01 consensus* (beat) .
- EBITDA (SPGI basis): $191M actual* vs $196M consensus* (miss); company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $224M .
Note: Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
KPIs and other quantitative disclosures:
- Backlog: >$5B (record) .
- 45X credits/tariffs net included in results: ~$67M in Q2 FY26 (vs $82M in Q1 and $48M in Q2 FY25) .
- Operating cash flow YTD: $268M; Cash & equivalents: $845M; Deferred revenue (current): $372M .
- Adjusted free cash flow YTD: $241.5M .
Guidance Changes
Context: H2 margins to see modest pressure from Section 232 tariffs and higher international mix; revenue more weighted to Q4 than Q3 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and platform expansion: “Together, these product lines broaden the capability of our platform…enable us to capture increased wallet share…translating measured R&D and M&A investments into meaningful revenue and profit” — Dan Shugar, CEO .
- Demand and regional momentum: “In the U.S., bookings and revenue were up significantly year over year, with revenue up 49%…Europe…delivering record sales in Q2” — Howard Wenger, President .
- Tariffs and margins: “We continue to see tariff-related headwinds of approximately 300 bps in Q2…Looking ahead, we are raising our full-year FY26 outlook” — Chuck Boynton, CFO .
- Capital structure: “We enhanced our capital structure with a $1 billion unsecured revolving credit facility at investment grade terms…strong cash position, no debt” — Chuck Boynton .
- MENA expansion: “Entered into a joint venture…Nextracker Arabia…localize production, strengthen regional supply chains” — Press release; “roughly 50/50 JV…we do not plan to consolidate” — CFO on call .
Q&A Highlights
- Cadence and seasonality: H2 revenue slightly weighted to Q4; strong Q3 visibility with trucks/deliveries scheduled; smoother cadence as scale increases .
- Tariffs/Section 232: ~300 bps Q2 headwind; modest margin impact expected in H2; domestic supply chain mitigates impacts .
- Backlog/bookings: Backlog increased again; customers seeking broader solutions; record bookings in eBOS and foundations support platform approach .
- Advanced module frames: Multi‑GW, multi‑year supply agreement; benefits include greater panel rigidity, domestic content, faster installation; can co‑optimize with trackers .
- JV in KSA (MENA): 50/50 JV, not consolidated; local factory shipping finished goods; positions NXT for Vision 2030 demand (targeted ~20 GW/year in KSA) .
- TrueCapture: ~2% of quarterly revenue; adoption increasing with feature additions and strong backlog .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY26 vs SPGI consensus: Revenue $0.905B vs $0.840B* (beat); Adjusted Diluted EPS $1.19 vs $1.01* (beat) .
- EBITDA (SPGI basis) $191M actual* vs $196M consensus* (miss); company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $224M .
- Estimate breadth: EPS (22 estimates), Revenue (24 estimates)*.
Note: Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise with quality: revenue and adjusted EPS beats vs consensus and raised FY26 revenue/adjusted EBITDA ranges should support estimate revisions upward; GAAP ranges narrowed with lower tops .
- Margin watch: structural gross margins remain in low-30s, but tariffs (~300 bps in Q2) and higher international mix are near-term headwinds; H2 margin modestly lower than H1 per management .
- Platform flywheel: eBOS PowerMerge, foundations, advanced module frames, and robotics/AI are expanding TAM and wallet share; early traction evidenced by record bookings across new lines .
- Backlog/visibility: record backlog >$5B with customers safe-harbored and project timing “stable and manageable” provides multi-quarter revenue visibility .
- Regional catalysts: U.S. demand remains strong (49% YoY revenue growth), Europe accelerating to record bookings, and MENA JV adds localized capacity—diversified growth vectors .
- Liquidity optionality: $845M cash, no debt, and a $1B revolver enable continued organic/M&A investment while maintaining flexibility .
- Trading implications: Near-term, focus on tariff headlines and Q3-to-Q4 weighting; medium-term, watch execution in non-tracker businesses (eBOS/frames/AI) and international mix effects on margins .
Additional Notes
- Non-GAAP adjustments primarily exclude stock-based compensation, intangible amortization, acquisition-related costs, and related tax effects; 45X credits reduce cost of sales under GAAP .
- Q2 included ~$67M of 45X/tariffs net in results; YTD operating cash flow $268M; adjusted free cash flow YTD $241.5M .